Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday


	James McCabe		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.44
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.63	1.49
	1.44	2.65	Watch
	2.61	1.45	Watch
	2.55	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.53)	1.62 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James McCabe
40%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

James McCabe - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McCabe is ranked ATP: 176. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 108.

In recent matches, McCabe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Basilashvili is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

McCabe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Basilashvili is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Basilashvili will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Nikoloz Basilashvili - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 63.49%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James McCabe
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	James McCabe - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	James Duckworth - James McCabe	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Francesco Maestrelli - James McCabe	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	James McCabe - Lukas Klein	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	James McCabe - Jacob Fearnley	Fearnley J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWL?
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Marc-Andrea Huesler	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alexander Shevchenko	Basilashvili N. retired ✺
14.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Christopher Eubanks	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LW?WW

James McCabe - Nikoloz Basilashvili: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide