Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday


	James McCabe		Yosuke Watanuki

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.37
	2.96	1.41
	2.84	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.39	Watch
	2.85	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (2.95)	1.39 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James McCabe
32.9%

Yosuke Watanuki
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Yosuke Watanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

James McCabe - Yosuke Watanuki Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - McCabe (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Yosuke Watanuki will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yosuke Watanuki will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. McCabe (votes: 1 - 25%). Watanuki (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McCabe is ranked ATP: 181. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 213.

Recent matches McCabe is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Watanuki is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Watanuki is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James McCabe
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Terence Atmane - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
24.03.25	James McCabe - James Kent Trotter	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Alexandre Muller - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Otto Virtanen - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	James McCabe - Guido Andreozzi	McCabe J. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLW?
- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Gabriel Diallo - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Tomas Machac - Yosuke Watanuki	Machac T. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLW?

James McCabe - Yosuke Watanuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide