Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Matteo Martineau		Jelle Sels

	1	2
			Watch
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.41	2.85
	1.34	3.08	Watch
	1.39	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.85)	2.9 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
67.7%

Jelle Sels
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Martineau's performance.

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelle Sels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Martineau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelle Sels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Matteo Martineau - Jelle Sels Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Martineau will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Sels will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martineau is ranked ATP: 297. Sels is ranked ATP: 364.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Martineau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Martineau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Martineau - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Jelle Sels - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Matteo Martineau - Etienne Donnet	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Matteo Martineau - Clement Chidekh	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Patrick Zahraj - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Matteo Martineau - Stuart Parker	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Matteo Martineau - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLL
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Hugo Voljacques - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Jelle Sels - Martin Sabas	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Jelle Sels - Lui Maxted	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Leo Raquillet - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.10.22	Matteo Martineau - Jelle Sels	2:0

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