Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sheffield, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Jelle Sels		Finn Murgett

	1	2
			Watch
	1.24	3.72
	1.24	3.61	Watch
	1.25	3.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.41)	3.66 ↑ (2.73)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
74.6%

Finn Murgett
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jelle Sels's performance.

Finn Murgett has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Finn Murgett might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jelle Sels that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Finn Murgett than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Finn Murgett could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jelle Sels - Finn Murgett Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sels is ranked ATP: 400. Murgett is ranked ATP: 919.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Sels is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Alexander Blockx - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Matteo Martineau - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Hugo Voljacques - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Jelle Sels - Martin Sabas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLW
- Finn Murgett
ITF Tournaments
08.10.25	Petr Nesterov - Finn Murgett	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Finn Murgett - Fons Van Sambeek	Canceled ✺
26.09.25	Finn Murgett - Filip Jeff Planinsek	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Finn Murgett - Marcus Walters	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Finn Murgett - Michalis Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 L?LWW

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