The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jan Choinski 36.5%
Roberto Carballes Baena 63.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
57%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
56.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.
Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
0%
77.8%
Jan Choinski - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 58.6% – 97%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3
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Preview
Choinski is ranked ATP: 281.Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 54.
Recent matches Choinski is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Carballes Baena is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Choinski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Carballes Baena will have a mini benefit in this match.
Watch
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