Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 July 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 4


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.85	1.42
	2.85	1.44	Watch
	2.92	1.46
	2.88	1.46	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.86	1.43	Watch
	2.8	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.3)	1.44 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
33.5%

Roberto Carballes Baena
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thiago Augustin Tirante's form might have worsened.

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.1%	3.2%	80.6%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: Roberto Carballes Baena will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Tirante is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carballes Baena in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Tirante could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Carballes Baena is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Carballes Baena to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Bastad
17.07.24	Andrey Rublev - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
16.07.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
09.07.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
02.07.24	Andrea Collarini - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWL
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Bastad
17.07.24	Denis Yevseyev - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
16.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
12.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
11.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide