Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel (Austria), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 July 2024, Wednesday


	Hugo Gaston		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.24	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.71
	2.27	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.24	1.66	Watch
	2.24	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.18)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
42.6%

Roberto Carballes Baena
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.7%	0%	78.3%

Hugo Gaston - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: Roberto Carballes Baena will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Gaston is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carballes Baena is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carballes Baena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carballes Baena will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Carballes Baena to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gaston won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.24	Hugo Gaston - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
ATP Hamburg
18.07.24	Alexander Zverev - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
16.07.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Alexandre Muller - Hugo Gaston	3:0 ✺
27.06.24	Hugo Gaston - Mikhail Kukushkin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.24	Marton Fucsovics - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
19.07.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
17.07.24	Denis Yevseyev - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
16.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
14.01.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston	1:3
ATP Challenger
08.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston	2:1

Hugo Gaston - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide