Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville (France), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday


	Jan Choinski		Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	1.89	1.82	Watch
	1.93	1.9
	1.93	1.84	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.89	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.01)	1.83 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
49%

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Jan Choinski - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Gueymard Wayenburg will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gueymard Wayenburg: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 184. Gueymard Wayenburg is ranked ATP: 253.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Gueymard Wayenburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Jan Choinski - Philip Henning	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Patrick Zahraj - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Jan Choinski - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Jan Choinski - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL
- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Denis Yevseyev - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
20.02.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Brandon Holt	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
10.02.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Mukund Sasikumar	1:2 ✺
10.02.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Hynek Barton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL

Jan Choinski - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide