Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano (Switzerland), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 February 2025, Thursday


	Luca Van Assche		Jan Choinski

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
			Watch
	1.44	2.86
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.54)	2.75 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
66%

Jan Choinski
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Van Assche's performance.

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan Choinski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Van Assche that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan Choinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Luca Van Assche - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Choinski will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Van Assche is ranked ATP: 154. Choinski is ranked ATP: 196.

Recent matches Van Assche is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Choinski is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Van Assche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Van Assche is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
25.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
19.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
12.02.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Luca Van Assche	Sonego L. walkover ✺
11.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
10.02.25	Clement Chidekh - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WL?WL
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
26.02.25	Patrick Zahraj - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Jan Choinski - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Jan Choinski - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
21.01.25	Pedro Araujo - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
07.01.25	Titouan Droguet - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLL

Luca Van Assche - Jan Choinski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide