Match Info

Date: 18 July 2022, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	Discovery+
Poland	SportKlub
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Jan-Lennard Struff		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	2.1	1.72	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.06	1.76
	2.04	1.72
	2.15	1.77
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.08	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.11)	1.76 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan-Lennard Struff
45.9%

Karen Khachanov
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan-Lennard Struff that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karen Khachanov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.7%	0%	18.3%

Jan Lennard Struff - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: Jan-Lennard Struff will win (67 of 82 users predict this - 81.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.34% – 90.08%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Struff in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Khachanov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Struff could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Struff won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Challenger
09.07.22	Maximilian Marterer - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
08.07.22	Jan-Lennard Struff - Henri Laaksonen	2:0 ✺
07.07.22	Taro Daniel - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
06.07.22	Franco Agamenone - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
05.07.22	Jan-Lennard Struff - Federico Delbonis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Halle
17.06.22	Oscar Otte - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
16.06.22	Laslo Djere - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
14.06.22	Aslan Karatsev - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
10.06.22	Karen Khachanov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
09.06.22	Karen Khachanov - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hamburg
22.09.20	Karen Khachanov - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1
ATP Paris
29.10.19	Karen Khachanov - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2
ATP Halle
19.06.19	Jan-Lennard Struff - Karen Khachanov	1:2
ATP Challenger
12.03.16	Karen Khachanov - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1

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