Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Karen Khachanov		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.29	1.61	Watch
	2.26	1.61	Watch
	2.3	1.61
	2.32	1.65	Watch
	2.29	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 (2.29)	1.62 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
41.4%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Karen Khachanov - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 26., and Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 5..

Khachanov is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Aliassime-Auger have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Aliassime-Auger may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Aliassime-Auger holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Khachanov has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:7 (averaging 1.6:1.4 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Felix Aliassime-Auger - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.17%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP US Open
11.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Karen Khachanov	3:0 ✺
09.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Alexander Blockx	Blockx A. Retired ✺
07.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Learner Tien	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Benjamin Bonzi	3:0 ✺
03.09.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Karen Khachanov	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 L?WWW
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
Davis Cup World Group
19.09.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Karen Khachanov	1:3 ✺
31.08.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Rinky Hijikata	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
19.08.26	Francis Tiafoe - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
03.09.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Karen Khachanov	1:3
ATP Halle
19.06.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Karen Khachanov	1:2
ATP Hertogenbosch
10.06.22	Karen Khachanov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.21	Karen Khachanov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2
ATP Montreal
08.08.19	Karen Khachanov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1

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