Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Jan-Lennard Struff		Nishesh Basavareddy

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	1.24	4.09	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.67	Watch
	2.08	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.62)	2.16 ↓ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan-Lennard Struff
53.2%

Nishesh Basavareddy
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Nishesh Basavareddy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan-Lennard Struff, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nishesh Basavareddy than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nishesh Basavareddy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Jan Lennard Struff - Nishesh Basavareddy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nishesh Basavareddy will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nishesh Basavareddy will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Struff is ranked ATP: 83. Basavareddy is ranked ATP: 167.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jan-Lennard Struff - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.39%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Nishesh Basavareddy - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.61%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Hong Kong
04.01.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
22.11.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.11.25	Liam Broady - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Dan Added - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWW
- Nishesh Basavareddy
ATP Hong Kong
04.01.26	Nishesh Basavareddy - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
ATP Next Gen Finals
20.12.25	Learner Tien - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:0 ✺
19.12.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Justin Engel	3:0 ✺
18.12.25	Alexander Blockx - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:0 ✺
17.12.25	Dino Prizmic - Nishesh Basavareddy	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLW

Jan-Lennard Struff - Nishesh Basavareddy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide