Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Davis Cup - World Group

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
France	beIN Sports 3
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Hungary	M4 Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Romania	Digi Sport 4
Spain	Movistar Plus+


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.27	1.61
	2.24	1.65	Watch
	2.29	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.28)	1.62 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
41.7%

Jan-Lennard Struff
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carreno Busta (votes: 1 - 50%). Struff (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 89. Struff is ranked ATP: 84.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carreno Busta won 3.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Carreno Busta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Struff could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Carreno Busta won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
Davis Cup World Group
20.11.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Luka Pavlovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWW
- Jan-Lennard Struff
Davis Cup World Group
20.11.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.11.25	Liam Broady - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Dan Added - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
03.11.20	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0
ATP Hamburg
25.07.19	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0
ATP Auckland
10.01.19	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.16	Jan-Lennard Struff - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2
ATP Challenger
18.09.15	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2

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