Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday


	Jan-Lennard Struff		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.8	Watch
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.92
	1.44	2.74	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.63)	2.79 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan-Lennard Struff
66%

Pedro Martinez Portero
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan-Lennard Struff's performance.

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Jan Lennard Struff - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Martinez Portero (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jan-Lennard Struff will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jan-Lennard Struff will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Struff (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Martinez Portero (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Struff is ranked ATP: 152. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 62.

Struff has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Martinez Portero is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Martinez Portero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Struff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.25	Sebastian Ofner - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nico Hipfl	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
15.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLL
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Gstaad
16.07.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Roman Andres Burruchaga	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.25	Jannik Sinner - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:0 ✺
03.07.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Mariano Navone	3:0 ✺
01.07.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - George Loffhagen	3:1 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
27.06.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
24.03.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jan-Lennard Struff	Struff J-L. retired
ATP US Open
31.08.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:3

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