Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 July 2025, Thursday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Max, Max
Bulgaria	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Finland	Max
Hungary	Max
Netherlands	Max
Norway	MAX
Romania	Max
Sweden	Max


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	2.63	1.5
	2.7	1.45
	2.66	1.45	Watch
	2.76	1.51
			Watch
	2.75	1.44
	3	1.46	Watch
	2.76	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.32)	1.46 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
34.7%

Mariano Navone
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pedro Martinez Portero's form might have worsened.

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mariano Navone's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mariano Navone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.4%	0%	69.6%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Martinez Portero will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Navone will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Martinez Portero (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Navone (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Martinez Portero (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Martinez Portero (votes: 5 - 50%). Navone (votes: 5 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 52. Navone is ranked ATP: 91.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Navone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Navone could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Martinez Portero won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - George Loffhagen	3:1 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
27.06.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
23.06.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
17.06.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Denis Shapovalov - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLLL
- Mariano Navone
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Mariano Navone - Denis Shapovalov	3:1 ✺
ATP Mallorca
22.06.25	Mariano Navone - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
21.06.25	Mariano Navone - Sebastian Ofner	Ofner S. retired ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Mariano Navone	3:1 ✺
28.05.25	Reilly Opelka - Mariano Navone	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WL?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.08.23	Mariano Navone - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2
31.03.23	Mariano Navone - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2

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