Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday

Location: Centre Court (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Jan-Lennard Struff		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	13	1.04
	10.5	1.04
	13	1.03	Watch
	15.81	1.04
			Watch
	13	1.02
	25	1.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.05 ↓ (15.75)	1.03 (1.03)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan-Lennard Struff
6.4%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
93.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.1%

93.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Jan Lennard Struff - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Struff will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Struff (votes: 2 - 40%). Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Struff (5.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Struff (votes: 3 - 50%). Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Struff is ranked ATP: 125. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2.

Recent performances by Struff have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alcaraz Garfia is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Alcaraz Garfia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Struff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:3 ✺
30.06.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Filip Misolic	3:1 ✺
ATP Halle
17.06.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
11.06.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLLW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Oliver Tarvet - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
30.06.25	Fabio Fognini - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:3 ✺
ATP London
22.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jiri Lehecka	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
30.04.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2
07.05.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1
ATP Wimbledon
27.06.22	Jan-Lennard Struff - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:3
ATP Roland Garros
05.06.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:3

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