Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Janice Tjen		Alina Charaeva

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.01	1.81	Watch
	2.08	1.85
	2.02	1.79	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.04	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.5)	1.82 ↓ (2.59)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Janice Tjen
47.3%

Alina Charaeva
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Janice Tjen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Janice Tjen's form might have worsened.

Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alina Charaeva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Janice Tjen than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Janice Tjen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alina Charaeva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Janice Tjen - Alina Charaeva Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tjen will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Charaeva will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charaeva: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tjen is ranked WTA: 39. Charaeva is ranked WTA: 129.

Recent performances by Tjen have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Charaeva is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Charaeva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tjen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Janice Tjen
WTA Madrid
21.04.26	Janice Tjen - Maria Sakkari	Canceled ✺
WTA Rouen
15.04.26	Janice Tjen - Anna Bondar	Canceled ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
10.04.26	Eunhye Lee - Janice Tjen	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Sahaja Yamalapalli - Janice Tjen	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Monique Barry - Janice Tjen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 ??LWL
- Alina Charaeva
WTA Madrid
21.04.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Alina Charaeva	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Alina Charaeva - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
WTA Rouen
14.04.26	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Alina Charaeva	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Alina Charaeva - Jessica Pieri	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Alina Charaeva - Mina Hodzic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLWW

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