Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Brescia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	Jasmin Ortenzi		Francesca Pace

	1	2
	1.30	3.40	Watch
	1.26	3.75
	1.30	3.45
	1.30	3.80
	1.31	3.2	Watch
	1.29	3.50
	1.31	3.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.31)	3.51 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmin Ortenzi
73%

Francesca Pace
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmin Ortenzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Francesca Pace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmin Ortenzi than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesca Pace than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Jasmin Ortenzi - Francesca Pace Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ortenzi is ranked WTA: 159. Pace is ranked WTA: 374.

Recent performances by Ortenzi have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pace has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pace may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ortenzi is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmin Ortenzi
ATP Challenger
08.06.26	Kaitlin Quevedo - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Jasmin Ortenzi - Viola Turini	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.06.26	Jasmin Ortenzi - Marta Lombardini	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Jasmin Ortenzi - Beatrice Ricci	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
20.05.26	Alina Korneeva - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL
- Francesca Pace
ATP Challenger
07.06.26	Victoria Bosio - Francesca Pace	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.06.26	Dalila Spiteri - Francesca Pace	Pace F. Retired ✺
03.06.26	Francesca Pace - Luisina Giovannini	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	Gina Marie Dittmann - Francesca Pace	2:0 ✺
21.05.26	Francesca Pace - Iva Primorac	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 L?WLL

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