Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wuhan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wuhan 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jasmine Paolini		Clara Tauson

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.75	Watch
	2.02	1.89
	1.61	2.25	Watch
	1.89	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.68)	1.93 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmine Paolini
50.3%

Clara Tauson
49.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jasmine Paolini's form might have worsened.

Clara Tauson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Clara Tauson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jasmine Paolini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clara Tauson than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Clara Tauson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	0%	30.4%

Jasmine Paolini - Clara Tauson Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Paolini will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Tauson will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paolini: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Paolini (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tauson (votes: 5 - 38.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Tauson (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Paolini (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Tauson (votes: 6 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paolini is ranked WTA: 8. Tauson is ranked WTA: 12.

Paolini is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tauson has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Paolini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paolini won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Wuhan
08.10.25	Jasmine Paolini - Yue Yuan	2:1 ✺
WTA Beijing
02.10.25	Jasmine Paolini - Amanda Anisimova	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Jasmine Paolini - Marie Bouzkova	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Jasmine Paolini - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Jasmine Paolini - Anastasija Sevastova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWW
- Clara Tauson
WTA Wuhan
08.10.25	Antonia Ruzic - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Olga Danilovic - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
27.09.25	Clara Tauson - Zeynep Sonmez	1:2 ✺
WTA Seoul
19.09.25	Clara Tauson - Maya Joint	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Clara Tauson - Eva Lys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Beijing
27.09.24	Jasmine Paolini - Clara Tauson	2:1

Jasmine Paolini - Clara Tauson