Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Italy	Super Tennis
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Jasmine Paolini		Marie Bouzkova

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.52	2.5	Watch
	1.54	2.67
	1.47	2.60	Watch
	1.58	2.42	Watch
	1.44	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.44)	2.58 ↓ (2.81)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmine Paolini
63%

Marie Bouzkova
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Marie Bouzkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jasmine Paolini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marie Bouzkova than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marie Bouzkova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Jasmine Paolini - Marie Bouzkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Paolini will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Bouzkova will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paolini: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jasmine Paolini will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paolini is ranked WTA: 8. Bouzkova is ranked WTA: 52.

Paolini has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bouzkova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Paolini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Paolini could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Paolini will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paolini won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Beijing
28.09.25	Jasmine Paolini - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Jasmine Paolini - Anastasija Sevastova	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
21.09.25	Jasmine Paolini - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Jasmine Paolini - Elina Svitolina	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Jasmine Paolini - Xin Yu Wang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW
- Marie Bouzkova
WTA Beijing
28.09.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Marie Bouzkova	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Marie Bouzkova - Magda Linette	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Tatjana Maria - Marie Bouzkova	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Marie Bouzkova	2:0 ✺
WTA Monterrey
23.08.25	Marie Bouzkova - Ekaterina Alexandrova	Bouzkova M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Monterrey
15.03.21	Marie Bouzkova - Jasmine Paolini	Canceled

Jasmine Paolini - Marie Bouzkova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide