Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Jasmine Paolini		Sofia Kenin

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.6
	1.32	3.72
	1.06	9.43	Watch
	1.31	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.36)	4.75 ↑ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmine Paolini
79%

Sofia Kenin
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jasmine Paolini's performance.

Sofia Kenin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sofia Kenin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jasmine Paolini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sofia Kenin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Jasmine Paolini - Sofia Kenin Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Paolini will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Kenin will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paolini: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Paolini (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kenin (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paolini is ranked WTA: 8. Kenin is ranked WTA: 26.

Paolini has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kenin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kenin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paolini is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paolini won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Beijing
26.09.25	Jasmine Paolini - Anastasija Sevastova	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
21.09.25	Jasmine Paolini - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Jasmine Paolini - Elina Svitolina	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Jasmine Paolini - Xin Yu Wang	2:1 ✺
WTA US Open
29.08.25	Marketa Vondrousova - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWL
- Sofia Kenin
WTA Beijing
25.09.25	Polina Kudermetova - Sofia Kenin	0:2 ✺
WTA Seoul
17.09.25	Maya Joint - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Laura Siegemund - Sofia Kenin	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
26.08.25	Ashlyn Krueger - Sofia Kenin	2:1 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
10.08.25	Sofia Kenin - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Dubai
19.02.25	Sofia Kenin - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
WTA Guangzhou
19.09.19	Sofia Kenin - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
WTA Roma
13.05.19	Sofia Kenin - Jasmine Paolini	2:0

Jasmine Paolini - Sofia Kenin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide