Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Germany	Laola1


	Jasmine Paolini		Lucrezia Stefanini

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.42	2.80
	1.4	2.86
	1.44	3.05
	1.4	2.95	Watch
	1.58	2.4
	1.44	2.88	Watch
	1.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.44)	2.85 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmine Paolini
66.5%

Lucrezia Stefanini
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Lucrezia Stefanini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jasmine Paolini - Lucrezia Stefanini Predictions

Users Predictions: Jasmine Paolini will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paolini is ranked WTA: 21. Stefanini is ranked WTA: 119.

Paolini is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Stefanini's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stefanini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paolini is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paolini won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Jasmine Paolini - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.53%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmine Paolini
WTA US Open
30.08.26	Jasmine Paolini - Veronika Erjavec	2:1 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
08.07.26	Marta Kostyuk - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
06.07.26	Jasmine Paolini - Alexandra Eala	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Jasmine Paolini - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Jasmine Paolini - Viktorija Golubic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW
- Lucrezia Stefanini
WTA US Open
30.08.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Dayana Yastremska	2:1 ✺
27.08.26	Julieta Pareja - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Madison Brengle - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Ayla Aksu - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.26	Marie Bouzkova - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Courmayeur
28.10.21	Lucrezia Stefanini - Jasmine Paolini	0:2

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