Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: FLORENCE (ITALY), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday


	Jasmine Paolini		Taylor Townsend

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.48	1.52
	2.55	1.57
	2.5	1.5
	2.42	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.03)	1.54 ↓ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmine Paolini
38.5%

Taylor Townsend
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jasmine Paolini's form might have worsened.

Taylor Townsend has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taylor Townsend's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jasmine Paolini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Townsend than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taylor Townsend, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Jasmine Paolini - Taylor Townsend Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Paolini will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Townsend will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Townsend: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Townsend could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Townsend will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Townsend to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paolini won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmine Paolini
ATP Challenger
20.05.23	Lucia Bronzetti - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
19.05.23	Jasmine Paolini - Ylena In-Albon	2:1 ✺
18.05.23	Jasmine Paolini - Dayana Yastremska	2:1 ✺
17.05.23	Jasmine Paolini - Katie Swan	2:1 ✺
WTA Roma
12.05.23	Jasmine Paolini - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWL
- Taylor Townsend
ATP Challenger
20.05.23	Taylor Townsend - Sara Errani	2:1 ✺
19.05.23	Matilde Paoletti - Taylor Townsend	0:2 ✺
17.05.23	Taylor Townsend - Ana Bogdan	2:0 ✺
15.05.23	Taylor Townsend - Ana Konjuh	Konjuh A. retired ✺
WTA Roma
13.05.23	Xiyu Wang - Taylor Townsend	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.06.17	Jasmine Paolini - Taylor Townsend	2:0

Jasmine Paolini - Taylor Townsend: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide