Match Info

Date: 1 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Grandstand (New York)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Denmark	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Norway	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Portugal	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Russia	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
World	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2


	Jason Kubler		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.15	1.36
	3.1	1.37
	3.44	1.36
	3.1	1.36
	3.3	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.57)	1.36 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jason Kubler
29.9%

Francis Tiafoe
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jason Kubler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jason Kubler's form might have worsened.

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francis Tiafoe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jason Kubler than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jason Kubler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.5%	0%	81.5%

Jason Kubler - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (44 of 54 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.12% – 91.84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Kubler is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tiafoe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tiafoe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tiafoe is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jason Kubler
ATP US Open
31.08.22	Jason Kubler - Mikael Ymer	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.22	Jason Kubler - Laslo Djere	1:2 ✺
23.08.22	Jason Kubler - Soon Woo Kwon	2:0 ✺
21.08.22	Marton Fucsovics - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP US Open
30.08.22	Marcos Giron - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.22	Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
15.08.22	Matteo Berrettini - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
10.08.22	Francis Tiafoe - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
09.08.22	Francis Tiafoe - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLW

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