Match Info

Date: 15 August 2022, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Matteo Berrettini		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	1.57	2.37
	1.53	2.45
	1.57	2.43
	1.57	2.36
	1.62	2.46
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.33)	2.44 ↓ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
61%

Francis Tiafoe
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Berrettini's form might have worsened.

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francis Tiafoe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Berrettini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.2%	0%	34.8%

Matteo Berrettini - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Tiafoe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Berrettini will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Berrettini won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Montreal
09.08.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
24.07.22	Casper Ruud - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
23.07.22	Dominic Thiem - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
22.07.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
21.07.22	Richard Gasquet - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Montreal
10.08.22	Francis Tiafoe - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
09.08.22	Francis Tiafoe - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
05.08.22	Francis Tiafoe - Nick Kyrgios	1:2 ✺
05.08.22	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
03.08.22	Christopher Eubanks - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
14.05.18	Matteo Berrettini - Francis Tiafoe	2:0

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