Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday


	Jason Kubler		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.77
	1.45	2.66	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.6)	2.62 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jason Kubler
64.3%

Hugo Grenier
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jason Kubler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jason Kubler's performance.

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Grenier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jason Kubler than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Jason Kubler - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kubler (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jason Kubler will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kubler is ranked ATP: 307. Grenier is ranked ATP: 175.

Kubler is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Grenier is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grenier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kubler will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kubler won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Grenier - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.95%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jason Kubler
ATP Challenger
24.04.25	Adam Walton - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Jason Kubler - Soon Woo Kwon	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Adam Walton - Jason Kubler	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Jason Kubler - Hyeon Chung	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Gerard Campana Lee - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWW
- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
24.04.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hugo Grenier	Grenier H. walkover ✺
22.04.25	Hugo Grenier - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Hugo Grenier	Canceled ✺
01.04.25	Elmar Ejupovic - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Dmitry Popko - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ?W?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.07.21	Jason Kubler - Hugo Grenier	2:0

Jason Kubler - Hugo Grenier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide