Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday


	Bernard Tomic		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.96	1.81	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	1.97	1.76	Watch
	2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.5)	1.7 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
44.8%

Hugo Grenier
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bernard Tomic's performance.

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Grenier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bernard Tomic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Grenier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Bernard Tomic - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tomic will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Grenier will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tomic: 59% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bernard Tomic will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tomic is ranked ATP: 214. Grenier is ranked ATP: 182.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Grenier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Grenier will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tomic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Bernard Tomic - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.87%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
03.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Bernard Tomic - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
27.03.25	Bernard Tomic - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWW
- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
01.04.25	Elmar Ejupovic - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Dmitry Popko - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Bernard Tomic - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
27.03.25	Hugo Grenier - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Kiranpal Pannu - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.03.25	Bernard Tomic - Hugo Grenier	1:2
23.07.24	Bernard Tomic - Hugo Grenier	0:2
24.03.21	Hugo Grenier - Bernard Tomic	2:1

Bernard Tomic - Hugo Grenier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide