Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday


	Hugo Grenier		Li Tu

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.38	1.52	Watch
	2.44	1.57
	2.41	1.55	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.89)	1.54 ↓ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Grenier
39.5%

Li Tu
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Grenier's form might have worsened.

Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Li Tu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Grenier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Li Tu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Hugo Grenier - Li Tu Predictions

Users Predictions: Li Tu will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Li Tu will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Grenier is ranked ATP: 182. Tu is ranked ATP: 172.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Tu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Grenier - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.03%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Li Tu - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.97%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Hugo Grenier	Canceled ✺
01.04.25	Elmar Ejupovic - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Dmitry Popko - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Bernard Tomic - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
27.03.25	Hugo Grenier - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 ?LLWW
- Li Tu
ATP Challenger
17.04.25	Hyeon Chung - Li Tu	2:1 ✺
16.04.25	Marat Sharipov - Li Tu	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Li Tu - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Li Tu - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Adrian Mannarino - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWW

Hugo Grenier - Li Tu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide