Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Pinoargote J. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Match 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2


	Jaume Munar		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.65	2.25
	1.75	2.17
	1.68	2.31
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.67	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.86)	2.22 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaume Munar
56.9%

Nuno Borges
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaume Munar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaume Munar's performance.

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuno Borges might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaume Munar than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaume Munar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuno Borges could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	0%	65%

Jaume Munar - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Munar will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Borges will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borges: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaume Munar
ATP Barcelona
17.04.24	Jordan Thompson - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
16.04.24	Jaume Munar - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.24	Roman Safiullin - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Jaume Munar	Van De Zandschulp B. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLW?
- Nuno Borges
ATP Bucharest
18.04.24	Nuno Borges - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
16.04.24	Nuno Borges - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
ATP Estoril
05.04.24	Christian Garin - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Nuno Borges - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Lucas Pouille - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWW

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