Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari (Italy), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Referee: Mangione A. (Ita)


	Nuno Borges		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.6	1.45	Watch
	2.93	1.44
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.72	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.2)	1.42 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
34.2%

Lorenzo Musetti
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuno Borges's form might have worsened.

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Musetti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuno Borges, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Musetti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Nuno Borges - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Musetti will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Borges could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Musetti will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Borges won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Challenger
02.05.24	Nuno Borges - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:1 ✺
01.05.24	Nuno Borges - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.24	Jaume Munar - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Bucharest
18.04.24	Nuno Borges - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
16.04.24	Nuno Borges - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLW
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Challenger
02.05.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.24	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Estoril
04.04.24	Nuno Borges - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0

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