Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Christian Garin		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.07	Watch
	1.72	2.18
	1.66	2.12	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.85)	2.1 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
55.7%

Nuno Borges
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christian Garin's performance.

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuno Borges might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Christian Garin - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Borges will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Garin is ranked ATP: 85. Borges is ranked ATP: 49.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Borges may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Garin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Nuno Borges - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Moez Echargui - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Christian Garin - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Christian Garin - Martin Damm	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Christian Garin - Nicolas Jarry	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Christian Garin - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLL?L
- Nuno Borges
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Nuno Borges - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Nuno Borges - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Nuno Borges - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Estoril
05.04.24	Christian Garin - Nuno Borges	2:0

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