Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 July 2025, Tuesday


	Tyler Zink		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.24	1.58	Watch
	2.29	1.64
			Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.24	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.63)	1.58 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyler Zink
40.9%

Jelle Sels
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyler Zink has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tyler Zink's performance.

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelle Sels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyler Zink than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tyler Zink that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelle Sels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tyler Zink - Jelle Sels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zink is ranked ATP: 313. Sels is ranked ATP: 320.

Zink is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sels's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zink may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sels will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tyler Zink
ITF Tournaments
11.06.25	Aidan Kim - Tyler Zink	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Tyler Zink - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
29.05.25	Patrick Kypson - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Tyler Zink - Tung-Lin Wu	Wu Tung-Lin retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.05.25	Andres Andrade - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLL?L
- Jelle Sels
ITF Tournaments
28.06.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
27.06.25	Tristan Lamasine - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
26.06.25	Lucas Bouquet - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	Benjamin Pietri - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
05.06.25	Jelle Sels - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWL

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