Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Skopje, clay - Final

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday


	Jay Clarke		Nerman Fatic

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.61	2.42
	1.59	2.37	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.29	Watch
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.67)	2.3 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jay Clarke
59.3%

Nerman Fatic
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Nerman Fatic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jay Clarke that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nerman Fatic than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nerman Fatic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Jay Clarke - Nerman Fatic Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Clarke will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Fatic will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fatic: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nerman Fatic will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Clarke is ranked ATP: 250. Fatic is ranked ATP: 339.

Clarke is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fatic is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Clarke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
23.05.25	Hugo Dellien - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
22.05.25	Jay Clarke - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Jay Clarke - Pedro Cachin	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Jay Clarke - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.05.25	Jay Clarke - Clement Tabur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWL
- Nerman Fatic
ATP Challenger
23.05.25	Mili Poljicak - Nerman Fatic	1:2 ✺
22.05.25	Nerman Fatic - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
21.05.25	Viktor Durasovic - Nerman Fatic	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Nerman Fatic - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
19.05.25	Nerman Fatic - Gerard Campana Lee	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.10.24	Nerman Fatic - Jay Clarke	0:2

Jay Clarke - Nerman Fatic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide