Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Skopje, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday


	Nerman Fatic		Christoph Negritu

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.42	2.6	Watch
	1.4	3.1
	1.38	2.99	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.39	2.85	Watch
	1.42	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.57)	2.77 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nerman Fatic
66.3%

Christoph Negritu
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nerman Fatic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nerman Fatic's performance.

Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Christoph Negritu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nerman Fatic than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nerman Fatic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Christoph Negritu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nerman Fatic - Christoph Negritu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fatic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fatic is ranked ATP: 339. Negritu is ranked ATP: 297.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Negritu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fatic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Christoph Negritu - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nerman Fatic
ATP Challenger
21.05.25	Viktor Durasovic - Nerman Fatic	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Nerman Fatic - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
19.05.25	Nerman Fatic - Gerard Campana Lee	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Nerman Fatic - Amar Huseinovic	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Mili Poljicak - Nerman Fatic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL
- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
21.05.25	Franco Agamenone - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
20.05.25	Christoph Negritu - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
20.05.25	Christoph Negritu - Zsombor Piros	Canceled ✺
13.05.25	Christoph Negritu - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1:2 ✺
12.05.25	Christoph Negritu - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WW?LW

Nerman Fatic - Christoph Negritu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide