Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: ADELAIDE (AUSTRALIA), HARD - FINAL

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: ADELAIDE (AUSTRALIA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	09:45	SportKlub
Croatia	09:45	SportKlub
Czech Republic	09:45	CANAL+ Sport 2
France	09:45	beIN Sports
Germany	09:45	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	10:45	Nova Sports
Portugal	08:45	Eleven Sports
Romania	10:45	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	09:45	SportKlub
Slovenia	09:45	SportKlub
Ukraine	10:45	Setanta Sports


	Jelena Ostapenko		Darya Kasatkina

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.5
	1.58	2.4	Watch
	1.6	2.49
	1.61	2.49
	1.57	2.38
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.6	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.65)	2.45 ↑ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelena Ostapenko
60.8%

Darya Kasatkina
39.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Jelena Ostapenko - Darya Kasatkina Predictions

Users Predictions: Jelena Ostapenko will win (30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ostapenko won 3.

Ostapenko is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kasatkina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ostapenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ostapenko will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ostapenko won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Adelaide
12.01.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
10.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
10.01.24	Caroline Garcia - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
08.01.24	Sorana Cirstea - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
WTA Brisbane
04.01.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Victoria Azarenka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL
- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Adelaide
12.01.24	Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula	Kasatkina D. walkover ✺
10.01.24	Laura Siegemund - Darya Kasatkina	Kasatkina D. walkover ✺
10.01.24	Darya Kasatkina - Anna Kalinskaya	2:1 ✺
08.01.24	Claire Liu - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
08.01.24	Angelique Kerber - Darya Kasatkina	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 ??WW?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
15.05.23	Jelena Ostapenko - Darya Kasatkina	2:1
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.21	Darya Kasatkina - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2
WTA Eastbourne
24.06.21	Jelena Ostapenko - Darya Kasatkina	2:1
WTA US Open
02.09.17	Jelena Ostapenko - Darya Kasatkina	0:2
WTA Charleston
09.04.17	Jelena Ostapenko - Darya Kasatkina	0:2
WTA Eastbourne
19.06.16	Darya Kasatkina - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2
ITF Tournaments
06.05.15	Jelena Ostapenko - Darya Kasatkina	2:0

Jelena Ostapenko - Darya Kasatkina