Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PRAGUE (CZECH REPUBLIC), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 May 2023, Tuesday


	Jelle Sels		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.57	1.53
	2.52	1.48	Watch
	2.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.93)	1.46 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
36%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jelle Sels that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Camilo Ugo Carabelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jelle Sels - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sels will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Ugo Carabelli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ugo Carabelli will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
27.04.23	Max Houkes - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
25.04.23	Filip Cristian Jianu - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
20.04.23	Jelle Sels - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
19.04.23	Jelle Sels - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
11.04.23	Jelle Sels - Viktor Durasovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWL
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
18.04.23	Alex Michelsen - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
13.04.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
12.04.23	Mateus Alves - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.23	Filip Misolic - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Ugo Carabelli C. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
17.03.23	Andrea Vavassori - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLW?L

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