Match Info

Date: 24 November 2020, Tuesday


	Jelle Sels		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	3.5	1.28	Watch
	3	1.34
	3	1.37	Watch
	3.15	1.3
	3.09	1.38
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.34)	1.32 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
29.1%

Francisco Cerundolo
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	0%	84.2%

Jelle Sels - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: Francisco Cerundolo will win (48 of 57 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.74% – 93.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Sels is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerundolo in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sels could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cerundolo is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
16.11.20	Jelle Sels - Renzo Olivo	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.10.20	Jelle Sels - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2 ✺
18.10.20	Igor Sijsling - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
17.10.20	Viktor Durasovic - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
16.10.20	Jelle Sels - Maxime Hamou	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWW
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
22.11.20	Andrej Martin - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
21.11.20	Francisco Cerundolo - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
20.11.20	Francisco Cerundolo - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
18.11.20	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
16.11.20	Francisco Cerundolo - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWW

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