Match Info

Date: 22 April 2021, Thursday


	Jelle Sels		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.75	1.38
	2.93	1.41
	2.62	1.44
	2.88	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.5)	1.41 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
33.6%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Jelle Sels - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Barrios Vera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sels will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
19.04.21	Jelle Sels - Antonio Cayetano March	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.04.21	Sandro Ehrat - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
30.03.21	Jelle Sels - Julian Lenz	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.03.21	Jelle Sels - Evgeny Karlovskiy	1:2
22.03.21	Antoine Bellier - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLL
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
20.04.21	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
12.04.21	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Tim Van Rijthoven	0:2 ✺
12.04.21	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alexander Ritschard	2:0 ✺
21.03.21	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
20.03.21	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	Meligeni Rodrigues Alves F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWL?

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