Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lille, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Moise Kouame		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.43
	2.51	1.48	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.59	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.65)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moise Kouame
35.4%

Luca Van Assche
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moise Kouame has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moise Kouame than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Moise Kouame - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kouame will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Van Assche will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kouame (votes: 1 - 50%). Van Assche (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 2nd Set - Kouame (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Kouame (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Kouame (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3 Games - Kouame (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games, 1st Set - Kouame (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Kouame (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Van Assche (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kouame is ranked ATP: 507. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 130.

In recent matches, Kouame has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Van Assche is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kouame may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Van Assche could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Van Assche will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Van Assche - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.95%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moise Kouame
ATP Challenger
20.02.26	Moise Kouame - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Moise Kouame	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Moise Kouame - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Moise Kouame - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
04.02.26	Moise Kouame - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLL
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
20.02.26	Luca Van Assche - Clement Chidekh	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Luca Van Assche - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Luca Van Assche - Leandro Riedi	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Zdenek Kolar - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW

Moise Kouame - Luca Van Assche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide