Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday


	Jenson Brooksby		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	1.80	2.00	Watch
	1.80	1.98
	1.84	1.96	Watch
	1.8	2.01	Watch
	1.87	1.98
	1.87	1.96	Watch
	1.78	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.87)	1.98 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jenson Brooksby
52%

Lorenzo Sonego
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jenson Brooksby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jenson Brooksby than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Jenson Brooksby - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Brooksby will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Sonego will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brooksby: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sonego (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Brooksby is ranked ATP: 77., and Sonego is ranked ATP: 86..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Sonego may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Sonego - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jenson Brooksby
ATP Chengdu
23.09.26	Sebastian Baez - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Jaime Faria - Jenson Brooksby	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.26	Jenson Brooksby - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Jaime Faria - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWL
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	James Duckworth - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Lorenzo Sonego	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.26	Lorenzo Sonego - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLW

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