Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Chengdu 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Sebastian Baez		Jenson Brooksby

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.23	1.66	Watch
	2.22	1.63	Watch
	2.30	1.64
	2.28	1.64	Watch
	2.25	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.35)	1.63 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
41.9%

Jenson Brooksby
58.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Jenson Brooksby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Baez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jenson Brooksby than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jenson Brooksby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Sebastian Baez - Jenson Brooksby Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Brooksby will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 51., and Brooksby is ranked ATP: 77..

In recent outings, Baez has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Brooksby is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Baez has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0 (averaging 2:0 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Sebastian Baez	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Sebastian Baez	Baez S. Retired ✺
25.08.26	Hugo Grenier - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.08.26	Sebastian Baez - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Sebastian Baez - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 L?WLW
- Jenson Brooksby
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Jaime Faria - Jenson Brooksby	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.26	Jenson Brooksby - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Jaime Faria - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Jenson Brooksby - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
06.05.26	Jenson Brooksby - Sebastian Baez	0:2
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Jenson Brooksby - Sebastian Baez	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jenson Brooksby
ATP Challenger
27.10.26	Jenson Brooksby - Bryce Nakashima	✺

Sebastian Baez - Jenson Brooksby: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide