Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quebec City, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Jesper De Jong		Dane Sweeny

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.44	2.70
	1.51	2.70
	1.46	2.54
	1.49	2.65	Watch
	1.44	2.59	Watch
	1.44	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.43)	2.62 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
64.2%

Dane Sweeny
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Dane Sweeny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Jesper De Jong - Dane Sweeny Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Jong is ranked ATP: 106. Sweeny is ranked ATP: 124.

Neither of the players is performing well right now.

De Jong could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Jesper De Jong - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.46%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Alex Michelsen - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
21.07.26	Jan Choinski - Jesper De Jong	Canceled ✺
ATP Bastad
16.07.26	Jesper De Jong - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Jesper De Jong - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Jesper De Jong - Joao Fonseca	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 L?LWL
- Dane Sweeny
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Christopher OConnell - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
01.08.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.07.26	Dane Sweeny - Daniel Milavsky	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Dane Sweeny - Duncan Chan	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Andres Martin - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWL

Jesper De Jong - Dane Sweeny: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide