Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Jan Choinski		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	2.10	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.07	1.75	Watch
	2.14	1.79
	2.07	1.7
	2.09	1.77
	2.12	1.74	Watch
	2.08	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.13)	1.74 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
45.4%

Jesper De Jong
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Jan Choinski - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Choinski (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 75. De Jong is ranked ATP: 73.

Choinski is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, De Jong has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Choinski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Bastad
14.07.26	Jan Choinski - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.26	Jan Choinski - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Daniel Rincon - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Jan Choinski - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Jan Choinski - Max Hans Rehberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWW
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Bastad
16.07.26	Jesper De Jong - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Jesper De Jong - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Jesper De Jong - Joao Fonseca	0:3 ✺
30.06.26	Jesper De Jong - Rinky Hijikata	3:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Jesper De Jong - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
21.02.26	Jan Choinski - Jesper De Jong	2:0
ATP Challenger
26.03.24	Jesper De Jong - Jan Choinski	2:0

Jan Choinski - Jesper De Jong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide