Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.38	Watch
	3.2	1.4
	3.1	1.36
	3.03	1.39	Watch
	3.1	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (3.09)	1.37 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
30.6%

Sebastian Baez
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Martinez Portero will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). Baez will win (votes: 11 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martinez Portero: 50.6% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martinez Portero is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Baez in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Baez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Baez is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Baez to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Martinez Portero won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Santiago
01.03.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
28.02.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
26.02.24	Francesco Passaro - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Andrea Vavassori	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWL?
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Santiago
01.03.24	Jaume Munar - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
29.02.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
25.02.24	Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Sebastian Baez - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
23.02.24	Thiago Monteiro - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Pune
04.01.23	Sebastian Baez - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2
ATP Santiago
27.02.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Sebastian Baez	2:1
ATP Challenger
14.05.21	Sebastian Baez - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1

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