Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GIRONA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Jesper De Jong		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.25
	1.62	2.35
	1.62	2.35
	1.62	2.2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)	2.3 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
59.3%

Andrea Pellegrino
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jesper De Jong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Pellegrino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Jesper De Jong - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Users Predictions: Jesper De Jong will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

De Jong could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

De Jong will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
26.03.24	Jesper De Jong - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
19.03.24	Jesper De Jong - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
21.02.24	Salvatore Caruso - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
20.02.24	August Holmgren - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
12.02.24	Milos Raonic - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWL
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
26.03.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Marco Trungelliti - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
19.03.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
13.03.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
11.03.24	Timofey Skatov - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW

Jesper De Jong - Andrea Pellegrino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide