Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday


	Luciano Darderi		Tristan Boyer

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.48	2.63	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.61	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.68)	2.55 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
63%

Tristan Boyer
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luciano Darderi's performance.

Tristan Boyer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tristan Boyer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Boyer than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.8%	0%	76.2%

Luciano Darderi - Tristan Boyer Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Boyer will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boyer: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 61. Boyer is ranked ATP: 111.

Darderi is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Boyer is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Darderi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Darderi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Last Results with these Odds

Luciano Darderi - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 56.7%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWW
- Tristan Boyer
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Tristan Boyer - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
18.03.25	Jacob Fearnley - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Tristan Boyer	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Tristan Boyer - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Tommy Paul - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.09.23	Tristan Boyer - Luciano Darderi	2:0

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