Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Mariano Navone		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.45	Watch
	1.43	2.65
	1.43	2.74	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.44	2.66	Watch
	1.43	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.32)	2.61 ↓ (3.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
64.2%

Jesper De Jong
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mariano Navone's form might have worsened.

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jesper De Jong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariano Navone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jesper De Jong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Mariano Navone - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). De Jong will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jesper De Jong will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 70. De Jong is ranked ATP: 96.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

De Jong could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Navone will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Mariano Navone - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Mariano Navone - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Mariano Navone - Botic Van De Zandschulp	Canceled ✺
ATP Bucharest
03.04.25	Marton Fucsovics - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Laslo Djere - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LW?LW
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Marrakech
02.04.25	Jesper De Jong - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Elliot Benchetrit - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.03.25	Marin Cilic - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Jesper De Jong - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
27.03.25	Jesper De Jong - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW

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