Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Noumea - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Jesse Delaney		Kousuke Ogura

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	1.96	1.76	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.02	1.69	Watch
	2	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.85)	1.72 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesse Delaney
46%

Kousuke Ogura
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesse Delaney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Kousuke Ogura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesse Delaney than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kousuke Ogura than the current prediction. (-2%)

Jesse Delaney - Kousuke Ogura Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Delaney (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Delaney is ranked ATP: 905. Ogura is ranked ATP: 827.

The current form of both players is below expectations.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jesse Delaney - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.93%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Kousuke Ogura - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.07%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesse Delaney
ITF Tournaments
16.12.25	Jesse Delaney - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
10.12.25	Jesse Delaney - Daniel Jovanovski	0:2 ✺
09.12.25	Jesse Delaney - Lawrence Bataljin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Jesse Delaney	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Jesse Delaney - Joshua Charlton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Kousuke Ogura
ITF Tournaments
01.12.25	Yuto Oki - Kousuke Ogura	2:0 ✺
26.11.25	Kousuke Ogura - Lorenzo Lorusso	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Kousuke Ogura - Elijah Sanogo	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.11.25	Emile Hudd - Kousuke Ogura	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Tung-Lin Wu - Kousuke Ogura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL

Jesse Delaney - Kousuke Ogura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide