Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Phan Thiet, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Phan Thiet 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Kousuke Ogura		Lorenzo Lorusso

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Kousuke Ogura
51.8%

Lorenzo Lorusso
48.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kousuke Ogura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Lorenzo Lorusso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kousuke Ogura than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Lorusso than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Ogura is ranked ATP: 769. Lorusso is ranked ATP: 1006.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lorusso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kousuke Ogura
ITF Tournaments
26.11.25	Kousuke Ogura - Elijah Sanogo	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.11.25	Emile Hudd - Kousuke Ogura	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Tung-Lin Wu - Kousuke Ogura	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Zane Stevens - Kousuke Ogura	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Kousuke Ogura	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWL
- Lorenzo Lorusso
ITF Tournaments
24.11.25	Lorenzo Lorusso - Azuma Visaya	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Lorenzo Lorusso - M Rifqi Fitriadi	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Arthur Weber - Lorenzo Lorusso	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Naufal Siddiq Kamaruzzaman - Lorenzo Lorusso	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Manish Sureshkumar - Lorenzo Lorusso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWL

Kousuke Ogura - Lorenzo Lorusso