Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - Final

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	SporTV 3
Colombia	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Denmark	6'eren, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, TV5
France	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Norway	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Portugal	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Romania	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Russia	Eurosport 1
Spain	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 2, Kanal 9
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+
Usa	ESPN USA
World	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2


	Jessica Pegula		Aryna Sabalenka

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.7	1.3
	3.55	1.3
	3.77	1.31
	3.73	1.31	Watch
	3.75	1.3
	3.71	1.32	Watch
	3.55	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.3)	1.31 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pegula
26.3%

Aryna Sabalenka
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jessica Pegula, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aryna Sabalenka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.1%	0%	68.9%

Jessica Pegula - Aryna Sabalenka Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 14 - 31.1%). Sabalenka will win (votes: 31 - 68.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 55.4% – 82.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pegula is ranked WTA: 6. Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pegula won 1.

Both players in the last matches got series of victories.

Sabalenka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sabalenka is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sabalenka to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Pegula won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pegula
WTA US Open
05.09.24	Jessica Pegula - Karolina Muchova	2:1 ✺
04.09.24	Iga Swiatek - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
02.09.24	Diana Shnaider - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
29.08.24	Sofia Kenin - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWW
- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA US Open
05.09.24	Emma Navarro - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
03.09.24	Qinwen Zheng - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
01.09.24	Elise Mertens - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Aryna Sabalenka	1:2 ✺
28.08.24	Lucia Bronzetti - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cincinnati
19.08.24	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula	2:0
WTA Finals
31.10.23	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula	0:2
04.11.22	Jessica Pegula - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Roma
12.05.22	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula	2:0
WTA Madrid
04.05.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula	2:0
WTA Roland Garros
29.09.20	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula	2:0
WTA Cincinnati
25.08.20	Jessica Pegula - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1

Jessica Pegula - Aryna Sabalenka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide